Trading Statistics
Mathematical relationships between strike rate, expectancy, and statistical risk. For educational purposes only.
Consecutive Loss Probability
Probability of experiencing a losing streak of N trades over a 50-trade sample, across strike rates
These figures are mathematical probabilities derived from binomial distribution. They are illustrative only and do not represent any specific trading system or strategy.
Expectancy Heatmap
Expected R per trade across combinations of strike rate and reward-to-risk ratio
Expectancy is a mathematical concept from probability theory. A positive expectancy does not guarantee profitable outcomes over any finite number of trades.
Gold border marks the zero-expectancy threshold for each R-multiple column. Cells above are negative; cells below are positive.
Risk of Ruin Explorer
Statistical relationships between probability parameters and theoretical risk metrics
This tool illustrates mathematical relationships between probability, reward-to-risk, and statistical risk metrics. It does not account for individual circumstances and does not constitute financial advice.
Understanding Drawdown Tolerance
Drawdown tolerance refers to the maximum percentage decline from peak account equity that a trader is willing to accept before considering their strategy no longer viable (ruin). This is not a recommended figure — it is a personal threshold that varies between traders depending on risk appetite, strategy type, and psychological tolerance for loss. In this tool, drawdown tolerance is used purely as a mathematical variable within the risk of ruin formula. It does not constitute advice on how much risk you should take.
The Seido Trading Indicator is a technical analysis tool and does not constitute a financial product or financial product advice under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth).
This tool is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.